The investing puzzle
Behavioural issues
Managing risks
As we celebrate the World Financial Planning Day on 4th October this year, let’s chat about something we all know but often overlook—financial planning. Financial planning isn’t just for the elite or the well-versed as often misunderstood, it’s for every Indian who aspires to secure their future.
Picture this: You decide to go on a road trip without any idea of your destination, no map, no GPS. Fun at first, but you’ll soon find yourself lost, frustrated, and maybe even running low on fuel or battery as applies to you. That’s what life can feel like without financial planning. Here’s why financial planning is a must-do.
1. Your Goals Are Your Roadmap: Just like you’d set a destination for your trip, financial planning helps you set and prioritise life goals. Whether it’s buying that dream home, sending your kids to college, or retiring comfortably, a plan gets you there better and generally with less stress.
2. Unexpected Potholes: Life’s full of surprises—some good, some not so much. A well-thought-out financial plan is like having a spare tyre for those unexpected flat tyres in life.
3. Money Multiplier: You know how your smartphone battery drains when you use too many apps? Well, your money does the same if you don’t manage it wisely. Financial planning helps you keep your money working for you, not against you.
4. Zen Mode: Imagine having adequate money set aside for emergencies and life’s little luxuries. Financial security brings peace of mind, and that’s worth its weight in gold.
So where does the Indian scenario stack up on all this? We’ve got a lot going for us, but we’ve still got some ground to cover when it comes to financial planning.
1. Financial Literacy Gaps: Many of us never learned the ABCs of finance. It’s like trying to play cricket without knowing the rules. We need better financial education, starting from schools to workplaces.
2. Insurance Missteps: A lot of us are underinsured or don’t have insurance at all. It’s like riding a racing bike without a helmet. Comprehensive insurance should be a no-brainer.
3. Stashing Cash: We’re known for saving, but sometimes we just hoard cash or park it in low-yield investments. Imagine having a supercar and only driving it at 20 km/hr. It’s time to rev things up and explore better investment options.
4. Retirement Myopia: Retirement planning is still a new concept for many. It’s like ignoring the scoreboard in a cricket match and hoping to win. Start planning for retirement early; your future self will thank you.
Now let’s talk about the good stuff—how getting your financial ducks in a row can make your life better.
1. Freedom to Dream: Ever dreamed of quitting your job to travel the world or start your own business? Well, financial planning can make those dreams a reality.
2. Stress Buster: Financial worries can give you sleepless nights. But with a solid financial plan, you can relax, knowing you’re prepared for life’s curveballs.
3. Money Magic: Smart planning can make your money grow faster than a magic beanstalk. It’s not about making more money; it’s about making the most of what you have.
4. Legacy Building: Wouldn’t it be amazing to leave a legacy for your kids and maybe grandkids? Financial planning helps ensure your wealth sticks around for generations to come.
Now, why should you care about World Financial Planning Day? Here’s the lowdown:
1. Wake-Up Call: It’s a reminder that financial planning isn’t just for the rich and famous; it’s for all of us. Time to roll up our sleeves and take control of our financial future.
2. Community Vibes: This day brings together financial experts, everyday folks like you and me, and everyone in between. It’s like a big financial planning picnic, where we share tips and stories.
3. Think Global: Money matters are universal. On this day, we realise that the same rules apply whether you’re in India, the US, Europe or anywhere else. Financial planning is a worldwide team effort.
4. Be Empowered: World Financial Planning Day is your chance to get the scoop on how to make smart financial moves. It’s like having a personal financial coach on speed dial.
So, as we celebrate World Financial Planning Day, remember this: Financial planning isn’t rocket science; it’s life science. It’s about making your life easier, more enjoyable, and full of possibilities.
Take a step today, set some goals, protect your dreams, invest smartly, and plan for your golden years. It’s your journey, and with a little financial planning, it’s bound to be a lot smoother and more rewarding. Here’s to your brighter financial future!
Cheers to World Financial Planning Day!
Source- Economictimes
Nowadays, tomato prices are volatile, but the stock market is not. At least, that’s what the headlines say. Are they correct? What is the meaning of the word volatility? The word appears to have three related but distinct meanings. Unfortunately, the one that is most commonly used is the wrong one.
Outside the financial markets, volatility means, as a dictionary puts it, undergoing frequent, rapid, and significant change. For example, the weather can be volatile. In the financial markets, technically, it means the amount of variation in a series of traded prices of anything over time. You can get even more technical and talk about the dispersion of returns for a security or an index. High volatility means that the price may change dramatically over a short time period in either direction. Low volatility means that it will not fluctuate dramatically but change at a steadier pace. Note that there is no direction of movement implied in either of these definitions, either the financial or the non-financial ones.
The third definition of volatility is the common and wrong one: Volatility means that the price of something is moving in a bad direction. In the media and social media, volatility means that bad things are happening to the price of something. It’s a ridiculous definition, but it’s the most common one. Technically, when the price of a stock increases sharply, it increases the volatility. However, I doubt whether anyone has ever used the word volatility to describe a sharp increase in a stock price. The word is only used for bad things. Funnily enough, in some contexts, that can mean a price rise. In the current tomato headlines, volatility means a rise in prices!
But let’s talk about genuine volatility. A lot of savers will always choose the lowest possible volatility in the asset class they choose for their savings. The massive preference for fixed-income assets like bank FDs, PPF, and other sovereign deposits that we see are all strong evidence of this. Even within market-linked volatile asset classes, lower volatility is a characteristic many investors chase. Within equity mutual funds, people will choose hybrid funds or only conservative large-cap funds and so on. All this is fine–I’m not criticising this. In fact, I keep a tight check on the volatility of most of my investments.
However, and this is something that few investors appreciate, lower volatility is not free. It has a cost. Perhaps that sounds self-contradictory to you. After all, we have been conditioned to believe that volatility means losses and lower volatility is good. That’s not true. Choosing the right kind of volatility can always boost your returns. To see the truth of that statement, compare equity mutual funds with bank fixed deposits. When you choose lower volatility, you reduce your returns. You are paying the price for stability — volatility in good quality investments means that your investment fluctuates but, on the whole, rises faster.
However, do you actually need the lower volatility? That question is important because volatility is transient. For a quality investment, prices fall but then rise again. The fall in value means that it will soon rise even faster. For investments that have to be held for a long time, paying the price for lower volatility makes little sense. If you can withstand temporary volatility, you should happily and enthusiastically embrace volatility — that’s the road to high returns.
Many years ago, Warren Buffett said, “Charlie and I would much rather earn a lumpy 15 per cent over time than a smooth 12 per cent.” So should you and I. One doesn’t have to be as rich as Buffett and Munger to prefer a lumpy but higher return. One just has to be as sensible and have a long-term view.
Source- Valueresearchonline
The world is changing. So is India.
We’re in an era of growth. And never before in the history of finance and economics have women been more instrumental. While women are increasingly taking charge of their finances, they are still far behind where they can be.
So, let’s see how our women can invest and grow their money better.
One of the common reasons why many women shy away from investing is the number of myths surrounding women and finance.
The biggest of them is that women do not understand finance or do not have the mathematical abilities needed to make the right decisions. Another myth is that women are not good at managing money and they are risk-averse.
On top of everything else, the belief that women love to splurge is one thing that makes many people believe that women do not make good investors.
A lot of these myths, in reality, are simple gender biases. One doesn’t need a lot of background in Maths and Statistics to make wise financial decisions.
Although there is no research available in India, some reports from the developed economies suggest that women end up spending more on essential family needs like food, clothing, medical expenses etc. This leads to lower surplus investable income with them, hence the myth that they spend more.
And yet, despite the conservative household budgets, our women, through generations, have been managing to save money. All that needs to change for women to generate wealth is to put this money in suitable instruments.
Financial decisions are not rocket science. Common sense is as instrumental to finance as any other decision-making process, and women have it in plenty and then some. As far as the more technical aspects of investing are concerned, there’s always expert advice available, just like it is for men.
For women to be in charge of their wealth, the game has to change on multiple levels. Change has already begun and is visible to an extent.
For instance, at the national level, India’s recent economic growth has been nothing short of a perfect winning-against-all-odds script. Organisations like the IMF and the World Bank are raving about India’s resilience even in the currently chaotic world.
This means more opportunities for women to invest.
On the other hand, the push behind women’s entrepreneurship, STEM education, diversity and inclusion at workplaces, and women’s safety, has enabled them to earn more.

The latest AMFI data indicates that the number of women between 18 and 24 who invest in mutual funds has grown more than four times (62 per cent annualised growth) from December 2019 to December 2022.
Similarly, the number of women investors in the 25-35 age bracket has doubled (grew at 33 per cent) over a similar period. In contrast, the older age groups have grown relatively slowly, at 11 per cent annualised growth.

If you still haven’t started investing, our first advice is to begin. There is no better time to invest than now. So, just start.
Also, do not hesitate to seek expert advice or professional support when choosing the right investment instruments, specially in the early stages of your journey.
Remember, the basic principles of investing and the larger economic framework of the country remain the same for men and women. So, any piece of advice on investment remains as valid for your investment journey as it is for your male counterparts.
However, here are some simple steps summarised to start your journey.
The message is simple.
The fundamentals are not gendered. So, your journey doesn’t have to be stereotyped, either. Women can manage finances; they do manage finance. And successfully so.
The other key principle to note is that there’s saving, and there’s investment. And, if you want to grow your wealth, you must begin investing now.
India is on the cusp of something great. The next 25 years are expected to make the country reap the magical benefits of the last 75 years of effort. And there’s no reason why women should not benefit from this golden period!
Source- Valueresearchonline
Several decades back, a particular incident sparked Daniel Kahneman’s journey toward ground-breaking discoveries, ultimately leading to the birth of behavioural economics as a widely accepted field. Despite being a psychologist, Kahneman was honoured with a Nobel Prize in Economics for his pioneering contributions. However, for us investors, this story sheds light on how we can be misled into believing we are correct, even when we’re off the mark.
In the 1960s, Kahneman was a junior psychology professor at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem while having a part-time assignment of giving psychology lectures to the Israeli Air Force flight instructors. One of his recommendations was to advise instructors to praise trainee pilots for their achievements but to abstain from criticism when they erred. This approach was rooted in his psychological education and understanding.
However, the flight instructors argued that their real-life experiences taught a different lesson. They had seen that trainees often underperformed after receiving praise and improved after being reprimanded. Although Kahneman was confident in his ideas, he didn’t outright dismiss the instructors’ assertions, given their substantial real-world experience. He kept thinking it over. And then, he had the insight that set him on the path to behavioural economics.
Kahneman realised that good performance after a scolding was not a result of the scolding itself. Each pilot had a certain skill level, which gradually improved with training. Naturally, each trainee had some good days and some bad ones. These were distributed around an average that represented that trainee’s skill level. A good day in the aircraft had a higher likelihood of being followed by a bad day, and vice versa. However, because the instructors followed each day with either praise or criticism, it looked as if the feedback had a contrary impact. An almost random set of events created a powerful impression of cause and effect, which was utterly believable.
Isn’t it obvious how this has a great similarity to how we all make decisions about investments and how we come to conclusions about the impact of our decisions? The brain is an extremely powerful and persistent pattern-recognition system, to the extent that it will create believable patterns where none exist. After a few years of investing, whether in equities or equity mutual funds, all of our brains are likely to be as clouded with false conclusions and misleading rules of thumb as those flight instructors. The worst part is that, exactly like the flight instructors, we all have ‘evidence’ that our rules work. When we make bad investments, we explain them away by making more spurious connections that are, in effect, even more rules. Curiously, I find many more people who have made these little rules about timing the markets rather than identifying good investments. Everyone seems to have these signals they follow about when to buy stocks, when not to buy, and when and how to sell. Sometimes, purely due to chance, the rules appear to work, reinforcing our beliefs.
The way I have described this phenomenon, there is no solution. However, there is, and a very simple one. One word: automate. I don’t mean in the technology sense but in the sense of rule-based investing. A perfect example is investing through a SIP in an equity mutual fund.
That subjects you to an automated, rule-based system that is not amenable to the ad hoc timing you may be tempted by. For equity investing, do the equivalent. For stocks on your buy list, keep putting in a fixed amount of money at a regular period. That’s exactly the strategy we recommend in our Value Research Stock Advisor service.
Remember, the pattern recognition that serves you so well in many other aspects of life can be your biggest enemy as an investor.
Source- valueresearchonline
Morningstar’s vice president of research, John Rekenthaler, on Bill Bernstein’s newly released second edition of his 2002 classic, The Four Pillars of Investing.
The book covers a wide range of territory: investment theory and history, financial advisory practices, portfolio construction, and investor psychology.
When Bernstein wrote the first edition of Four Pillars, as a relative newcomer to the field, he was enthralled by the numbers. Investment research is bounded by science. In contrast with many of his quantitatively minded peers, though, he recognized from the start that investment math could also be a trap. History never repeats exactly—sometimes not even approximately.
For that reason, he addressed investor psychology.
Twenty years later, he has expanded on that message. The second edition opens by contrasting two investors:
1) Hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management, run by two Nobel Laureates
2) Sylvia Bloom, a legal secretary who died at the age of 98, holding $9.2 million in assets
The former belied its name by surviving only four years, while the latter persisted for 67 years, with great success. Writes Bernstein, “Unlike the geniuses at LTCM, [Bloom] wasn’t trying to get rich quick, but rather to get rich slow—a much safer bet.” That sentence neatly summarizes Bernstein’s counsel.
Four Pillars spends little time on the obvious forms of speculation, such as buying meme stocks or trading options. No need to beat that horse; the book’s readers either already realize the futility of tail-chasing, or they bought the book because they are ready to absorb that lesson.
Four Pillars instead addresses the type of errors that educated investors might unknowingly make—and that Bloom did not. They include:
1) becoming seduced by investment narratives, as made by intriguing but ultimately mediocre theme funds
2) succumbing to recency bias
3) believing too strongly in one’s own abilities, thereby discounting the wisdom of the crowd (Is the marketplace crazy? Perhaps. But that occurs far less often than most investors believe.)
The first edition of Four Pillars included a risk-tolerance table, to help readers establish their equity allocation. For example, investing 80% of one’s assets in stocks might lead to a 35% portfolio decline, under unusually bad (although not the worst possible) circumstances, while owning 40% would cut the loss to 15%.
I neglected to ask whether readers had actually lost 15%, 25%, or 35% of their portfolio. Simply looking at this table or running a portfolio simulation on a spreadsheet is not the same as facing real-world losses. The stock market only rarely falls for no good reason – bear markets are almost always the result of incipient financial system collapse, hyperinflation, or the prospect of nuclear annihilation. The fear of real geopolitical and economic catastrophe makes such times the most dangerous mountain passes on the highway of riches.
That is, it is not enough to have been in the right place at the right time, as wealthy Americans have been during the past 40 years. Investors must also know how to convert their paper opportunities into tangible dollars, by making sound decisions that withstand the test of time. Underinvesting is an obvious problem, as one can’t pocket stock market gains without stocks. But overinvesting can also be a costly error. Getting rich slowly means finding the appropriate personal level.
That conclusion may seem simple, but enacting it proves surprisingly difficult. Over the years, tens of millions of investors have crashed upon the asset-allocation rock. Such a fate, however, is unlikely to befall those who read Four Pillars. By the time the reader encounters Bernstein’s homily on risk perception, the book already established 200 pages of context, with another 100 yet to follow. The advice is therefore not hollow. It echoes.
Source- Morningstar
New couples have a choice to make. They can choose to open up about their finances or not. Those who are successful will watch their nest eggs grow and progress towards shared goals.
Success simply starts with an open dialogue. When it’s missing, arguments are inevitable.
“While fighting about money is not necessarily common, those arguments tend to be longer than other arguments, and more damaging to the relationship than other types of arguments,” explained Sarah Newcomb, when she was Morningstar’s Director of Behavioural Science. Hence, it is very important for couples to find ways to communicate in a healthy way about finances.
You will be surprised to know that money is the top reason for stress among adults. This is regardless of the economic climate.
If money is the number one reason for stress in people’s lives, we need to talk about it. Talking helps reduce stress. Unfortunately, not many do so.
People who feel that they are moving towards a committed relationship need to start a dialogue about finances. When you go out with the person, you get a sense of what their values are around money, family history and debt.
The first conversation shouldn’t be about your credit scores or how much you earn or how much debt do you have. Neither should it be about how to merge your finances as a couple.
Newcomb suggests “get-to-know-you” questions that make the person open up. What was money like in your household growing up? What does the good life mean to you? Does money keep you up at night? Do you think of money as a necessary evil or as freedom and opportunity?”
Tell your partner that you are curious and want to learn more about him/her and their family. It is not about judgement, but about developing a deep understanding of who your partner is and what the stories are that are driving the financial decisions that you two will eventually make. Share your experiences too.
You need to talk even if you never combine bank accounts. Learning how to talk about difficult things together is the key to having a solid financial life together.
What debt does your partner have? What is their attitude towards clearing it? If your partner has a huge credit card bill and is least concerned, it is a red flag.
Credit scores are important when you’re contemplating buying a home and taking a loan. So your potential spouse’s credit score may have a significant impact on your financial ability together.
If both are earning, then the conversation must move to sharing expenses and splitting bills.
Splitting expenses comes down to asking each other “what feels fair”, says Newcomb. Let’s say one person makes three times what the other person does, then they might want to split the bill proportionally. That would mean one partner pays 25% and the other pays 75%. Others may just want to split it 50/50.
At some point, there needs to be an ‘I’ll show you mine and you show me yours’ numbers conversation where you will show one another your debt and your assets. So many of us will combine our lives, and never sit down and have that conversation where you just simply show one another your accounts.
Avoiding the subject is detrimental. The truth will come out and partners’ finances affect each other.
Financial intimacy is what a lot of couples don’t have. It’s a scary intimacy because it requires trust to show someone your situation. Often we are afraid of being judged and what our partner will think of us if they know our financial situation. Some people are afraid to be judged for having too much. Some people are afraid to be judged for having too little. People are afraid to be judged for being disorganized.
It’s important to tell the truth. As a basis for a committed relationship, being dishonest about how you manage money is a shaky foundation for your marriage.
Have the financial planning and financial future conversations before you get married. Talk about the way you will manage money. The goals you want to accomplish as a couple.
After the most difficult conversations take place, it will make what you have stronger. You’re setting yourself up for success because you did the scary, courageous thing.
Budgets are not sexy. Budgets are not romantic. But that’s the reality. Sit down at the end of each month and go over the expenses and savings.
It is just as important to keep the romance alive as it is to have financial discussions.
Source- Morningstar
Mr Naresh Gupta, a non-pensioner super senior citizen living in Delhi, recently took out fixed deposits (FDs) to manage his household expenses. However, he needed a regular income and sought our advice on whether to invest in a balanced-advantage fund (as suggested by his friend) for this purpose.
What are balanced-advantage funds?
What does this mean for Mr Gupta?
That being said, Value Research is sceptical of mutual funds that rely on timing the market. We believe that static equity-debt allocations (such as 75:25, 50:50 and 25:75) based on your ability to take risks work better in the long run. It eliminates the chances of pre-empting market moves based on models or human judgement. Even in the case of funds with dynamic asset allocation, we would prefer the ones that do not take extreme calls. It brings higher predictability.
An alternate route
Mr Gupta can also follow the below alternate strategy:
Source- Valueresearchonline
Is it advisable to build a core equity portfolio (50-60 per cent) in mid and small caps, considering an SIP tenure for 10 plus years? – Anonymous
When it comes to long-term investing, a time horizon of 10 years or more is well-suited for equity investments. However, it’s important to avoid over-concentrating in one type of fund or solely investing in mid and small-cap funds. For example, building a core equity portfolio where 50-60 per cent is allocated to mid and small-cap funds is not recommended.
Instead, a diversified approach to equity via flexi-cap funds is recommended, as they invest across large, mid, and small-cap stocks. By investing in a flexi-cap fund, around 25-30 per cent of your portfolio is exposed to mid and small-cap stocks, while large-caps make up about 70 per cent. When building a portfolio, it’s best to focus on stocks that provide growth with stability, which large-caps tend to offer. Riskier assets should only be allocated a small portion of the portfolio.
While mid and small-cap funds may provide higher returns than flexi-cap funds in the long run, they may fluctuate more in the short run and are generally considered riskier. Having a higher exposure of 50-60 per cent to mid and small-cap funds can make your portfolio much more volatile, which is not advisable.
In conclusion, if you’re willing to accept higher risk and volatility for higher returns, you can add a mid or small-cap fund along with a flexi-cap fund. This way your portfolio allocation to mid- and small-caps would be slightly higher. However, it’s not advisable to make them the core of your portfolio.
Source- Valueresearchonline
Execution Only Platforms (EOPs) will become reality by September 1, 2023. In a circular, SEBI has introduced the concept of EOPs, which essentially says that digital platforms offering direct plans free of cost will now have to charge a flat transaction fee either from AMCs or directly from investors.
SEBI has introduced two set of norms of EOPs – category 1 EOPs can become agent of AMCs and charge transaction fee from them by obtaining license from AMFI and category 2 EOPs can become representative of investors and charge them directly by taking stock broking license.
SEBI has defined EOP as any digital or online platform, which facilitates transactions such as subscription, redemption and switch transactions in direct plans of the schemes of mutual funds.
All players who are into distribution of direct plan will have to obtain EOP license by December 01, 2023. Also, industry platforms like MF Central, MF Utilities, BSE Star MF and NSE NMF II will also have to obtain EOP license.
Further, the market regulator has clarified that platforms provided by SEBI RIAs and stock brokers to their advisory or broking clients are not covered under EOP framework.
Let us look at the other key details of the new regulation on this new distribution channel:
Source- Cafemutual